000
WTPZ25 KNHC 142030
TCMEP5
TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102008
2100 UTC THU AUG 14 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 110.2W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 110.2W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.3N 111.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.9N 112.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 114.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 116.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 20.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/PASCH