000
WTPZ25 KNHC 061439
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052008
1500 UTC SUN JUL 06 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ZIHUATANEJO TO
MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. 
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
PUERTO ANGEL TO CABO CORRIENTES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DEPRESSION.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 102.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 102.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.0N 103.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.9N 104.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.9N 106.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 22.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 102.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH