000
WTPZ25 KNHC 052043
TCMEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052008
2100 UTC SAT JUL 05 2008
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC..THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM
ACAPULCO TO ZIHUATANEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  99.2W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  99.2W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  99.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 14.7N  99.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.3N 100.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.0N 100.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.5N 101.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.5N 103.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N 105.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 20.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  99.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA