000
WTPZ24 KNHC 201454
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142019
1500 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIO.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 110.1W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  80SE  70SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 110.1W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 110.1W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.6N 110.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.8N 110.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 21.1N 112.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 22.3N 113.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 25.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 25.0N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 110.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY