000 WTPZ24 KNHC 041434 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM RAMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192017 1500 UTC WED OCT 04 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO ANGEL TO ACAPULCO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 96.5W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 96.5W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 96.2W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.1N 97.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.2N 100.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 103.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.0N 106.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N 112.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.0N 114.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 96.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH