000 WTPZ24 KNHC 300245 TCMEP4 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142017 0300 UTC WED AUG 30 2017 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM TODOS SANTOS TO PUERTO CORTES AND ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ON THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO CORTES TO LOS BARRILES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF LOS BARRILES TO SAN EVARISTO A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 30/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 107.9W AT 30/0300Z AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.7W FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N 108.6W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.7N 109.2W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N 109.8W...TROPICAL STORM MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.1N 110.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.1N 112.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.7N 114.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 27.3N 117.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 107.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI