000
WTPZ24 KNHC 270234
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0300 UTC THU JUL 27 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 114.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 113.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.9N 117.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.6N 118.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.3N 120.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 20.7N 124.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.8N 128.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.9N 131.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 114.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI