000
WTPZ24 KNHC 240247
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0300 UTC MON JUL 24 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 103.5W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 103.5W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 103.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 14.7N 106.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.4N 107.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.1N 109.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.2N 113.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.3N 117.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 19.2N 120.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 103.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART