000
WTPZ24 KNHC 232032
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
2100 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 102.9W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  20SE  20SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 102.9W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 102.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.6N 103.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.3N 105.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.0N 106.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 116.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 19.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 102.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE