000
WTPZ24 KNHC 272032
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
2100 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 139.3W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 139.3W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 139.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.4N 140.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.3N 141.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.3N 143.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.3N 144.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.4N 148.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 20.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 20.0N 157.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 139.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN