000
WTPZ24 KNHC 271433
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142016
1500 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 138.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 138.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 138.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.7N 140.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N 142.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.8N 143.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N 151.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 21.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 138.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN