000
WTPZ24 KNHC 121431
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
1500 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 128.5W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 128.5W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 128.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.8N 129.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.9N 131.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.9N 133.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.1N 140.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 22.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 23.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 128.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA