000
WTPZ24 KNHC 120843
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
0900 UTC TUE JUL 12 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..230NE 210SE 200SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 127.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 127.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 17.0N 129.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.2N 131.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.4N 133.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.4N 135.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.0N 148.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 127.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN