000
WTPZ24 KNHC 092040
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
2100 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.8W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.8W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 117.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.4N 119.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.5N 124.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 14.8N 126.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 18.0N 134.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 20.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 117.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN