000
WTPZ24 KNHC 091444
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
1500 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 117.2W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 117.2W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 116.6W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.8N 119.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 14.8N 121.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 14.8N 123.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.9N 125.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 133.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 19.0N 137.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 117.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN