000
WTPZ24 KNHC 090834
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042016
0900 UTC SAT JUL 09 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.8W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 115.8W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 115.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N 117.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 14.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 14.7N 122.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 14.8N 124.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 15.7N 128.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 17.1N 131.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 19.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 115.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN