000
WTPZ24 KNHC 300246
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 120.8W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 120.8W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 121.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.2N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.4N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.3N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 120.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN