000
WTPZ24 KNHC 282038
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 118.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 118.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 118.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.8N 119.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.1N 120.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 23.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.5N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 23.5N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN