000
WTPZ24 KNHC 281432
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  70SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 118.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.2N 118.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.4N 119.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.5N 119.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 22.6N 119.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.5N 122.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 118.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN