000
WTPZ24 KNHC 280830
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 118.1W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  70SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 220SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 118.1W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.4N 118.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.6N 118.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.8N 118.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.0N 119.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.0N 120.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 25.0N 121.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 118.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN