000
WTPZ24 KNHC 260239
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0300 UTC MON SEP 26 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.3W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.3W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 110.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.9N 112.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.0N 114.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.2N 115.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 17.6N 116.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.6N 116.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  75SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 25.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN