000
WTPZ24 KNHC 250838
TCMEP4
 
HURRICANE HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 108.4W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.1N 109.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.1N 111.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.2N 113.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 17.3N 114.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.2N 116.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 108.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN