000
WTPZ24 KNHC 192034
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
2100 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  97.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.7N 100.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.9N 103.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.1N 105.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.1N 106.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.1N 109.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  98.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 192034
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
2100 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  97.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.7N 100.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.9N 103.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 16.1N 105.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.1N 106.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 19.1N 109.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 21.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  98.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE