000
WTPZ24 KNHC 190835
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  95.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  95.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  95.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.1N  98.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.3N 100.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.5N 103.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.7N 105.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  95.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 190835
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
0900 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  95.9W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  70SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  95.9W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  95.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 12.1N  98.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.3N 100.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.5N 103.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 15.7N 105.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.8N 108.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 19.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.4N  95.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI