000
WTPZ24 KNHC 190244
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
0300 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  94.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  94.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.6N  96.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.5N  98.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.6N 101.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.9N 103.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  95SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  94.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 190244
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
0300 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  94.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  94.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.6N  96.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.5N  98.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.6N 101.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 14.9N 103.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  95SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 112.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  94.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN