000
WTPZ24 KNHC 182033
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
2100 UTC MON JUL 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  92.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  92.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  92.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 11.1N  94.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.9N  97.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.0N 100.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  70SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.3N 102.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 107.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  95SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 20.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  92.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 182033
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
2100 UTC MON JUL 18 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  92.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  92.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  92.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 11.1N  94.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 11.9N  97.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 13.0N 100.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  85SE  70SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 14.3N 102.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  85SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.0N 107.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  55NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  95SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 18.7N 110.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 20.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  92.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART