000 WTPZ24 KNHC 181430 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 1500 UTC MON JUL 18 2011 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 91.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 10.7N 93.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.3N 95.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.3N 98.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.6N 101.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 95SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 110.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 91.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 181430 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011 1500 UTC MON JUL 18 2011 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.5W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 91.5W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 91.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 10.7N 93.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.3N 95.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.3N 98.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 13.6N 101.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.6N 106.5W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 34 KT...105NE 105SE 95SW 105NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 110.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 91.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART