000
WTPZ24 KNHC 040244
TCMEP4
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
0300 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 122.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.1N 122.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.3N 123.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.6N 124.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.9N 125.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.5N 133.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/STEWART