000
WTPZ24 KNHC 032032
TCMEP4
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
2100 UTC FRI OCT 03 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.2W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.2W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.7N 122.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.9N 122.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.2N 123.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 18.6N 124.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 19.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 122.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE