000
WTPZ24 KNHC 031433
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
1500 UTC FRI OCT 03 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 122.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  75SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 122.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 122.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.8N 122.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N 123.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.3N 123.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 19.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N 132.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 122.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA