000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021439
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP142008
1500 UTC THU OCT 02 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.3W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  45SE  45SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.3W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 120.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.1N 121.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N 123.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.0N 126.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 18.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 120.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN