000
WTPZ24 KNHC 100840
TCMEP4
HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0900 UTC SUN AUG 10 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 125.7W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  75SE  75SW  45NW.
34 KT.......110NE 150SE 150SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 125.7W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 125.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.7N 126.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.0N 128.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  45SE  45SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.1N 129.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 138.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 125.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME