000
WTPZ24 KNHC 021453
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042008
1500 UTC WED JUL 02 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 107.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 107.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 107.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.2N 108.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.1N 108.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 109.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.1N 110.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 112.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 115.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 107.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN