000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020831
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042008
0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2008
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS
TO PUERTO VALLARTA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 107.4W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 107.4W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 107.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.2N 107.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 108.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.6N 109.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.1N 110.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 20.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 20.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 107.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH