000
WTPZ24 KNHC 020232
TCMEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042008
0300 UTC WED JUL 02 2008
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO
PUERTO VALLARTA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION.
 
CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.0W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.5N 109.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N 109.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 107.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN