000
WTPZ24 KNHC 111442
TCMEP4
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
1500 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 140.2W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 140.2W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 139.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 12.9N 141.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.3N 143.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 13.7N 146.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.1N 148.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.0N 156.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 18.5N 160.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 140.2W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER IN HONOLULU HAWAII.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB