000
WTPZ24 KNHC 110235
TCMEP4
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
0300 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 138.3W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 138.3W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 137.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 12.9N 140.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.4N 142.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.9N 144.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 14.4N 146.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.5N 151.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 17.0N 155.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.5N 159.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 138.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME