000
WTPZ24 KNHC 101438
TCMEP4
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
1500 UTC FRI AUG 10 2007
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 136.0W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 136.0W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 135.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 12.8N 137.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.1N 140.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 13.5N 142.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 13.9N 144.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 14.9N 149.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 155.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 159.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 136.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB