000
WTPZ24 KNHC 100834
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
0900 UTC FRI AUG 10 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 134.9W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 134.9W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 134.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 12.7N 136.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.0N 139.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 13.4N 141.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.7N 143.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.5N 147.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 15.5N 152.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 157.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N 134.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI