000
WTPZ24 KNHC 091445
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 130.9W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 130.9W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 130.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 12.9N 132.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 13.1N 135.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 13.3N 137.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 13.5N 139.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.0N 143.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 15.0N 147.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 151.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 130.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN