000
WTPZ24 KNHC 090831
TCMEP4
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092007
0900 UTC THU AUG 09 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 129.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 129.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 128.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.3N 131.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 13.3N 133.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 13.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 13.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 14.5N 146.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N 150.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 129.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA