000
WTPZ23 KNHC 041444
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 128.6W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 128.6W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 128.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.7N 129.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.3N 131.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 132.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.7N 133.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N 135.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 24.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 24.8N 136.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.3N 137.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N 128.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS