000
WTPZ23 KNHC 040230
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0300 UTC SUN OCT 04 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 127.9W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 127.9W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 127.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 128.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.9N 130.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.6N 131.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 22.3N 132.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.9N 133.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 23.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.7N 136.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 26.0N 136.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.5N 127.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY