000
WTPZ23 KNHC 030236
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0300 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 125.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 125.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 125.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.3N 126.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.2N 127.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.0N 128.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.6N 129.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.1N 131.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.6N 132.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.5N 134.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 24.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 125.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY