000
WTPZ23 KNHC 022039
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 125.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 125.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 124.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.6N 126.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.6N 127.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 128.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.1N 129.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 130.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.2N 132.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 23.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 125.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BERG