000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020843
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0900 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.2W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 123.2W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 122.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.9N 124.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 126.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.0N 127.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.9N 129.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.6N 130.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.1N 131.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N 134.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 123.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN