000
WTPZ23 KNHC 020233
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0300 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 122.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 110SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 122.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 16.3N 123.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 17.3N 125.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 18.4N 127.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.4N 128.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N 130.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.8N 131.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.0N 134.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 23.4N 136.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 122.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI