000
WTPZ23 KNHC 012041
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
2100 UTC THU OCT 01 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 120.9W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 110SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 120.9W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 120.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.8N 122.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.7N 125.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N 126.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.8N 128.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.7N 129.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.3N 130.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 21.4N 133.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 136.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 120.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG