042 
WTPZ23 KNHC 300836
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182020
0900 UTC WED SEP 30 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 112.5W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 180SE 210SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 112.5W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.4N 114.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N 117.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.9N 120.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.7N 123.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.8N 125.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.0N 127.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 130.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N 133.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 112.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN