000
WTPZ23 KNHC 232042
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082020
2100 UTC THU JUL 23 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
DOUGLAS. WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED ON FRIDAY FOR A PORTION OF THE
AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 137.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  959 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 137.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 136.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.0N 139.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.2N 142.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.4N 145.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 18.5N 149.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.4N 152.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.1N 154.9W...NEAR HAWAII
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N 160.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 167.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 137.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE